Wednesday, September 13, 2023

More Hurricane Hype

Category 3 hurricane threatens New England and Maritime Canada.  OMG, run for your lives!

Once again the desperation for clicks and views leads to very misleading info.  Here's a sample of "headlines" in the past 24 hours:

 
The implication is that a Cat 3 hurricane will hit land.  It won't. This storm, like all the others on this path, will weaken dramatically as it crosses into cooler N. Atlantic waters. That's entirely normal but no one wants to mention this reality.  It's rare for the NE US coast to see hurricane conditions in summer months (winter months, it's more likely).
 
As soon as this system churns up past Bermuda, the lack of warm, tropical water "fuel" will rapidly extinguish the storm. But it will continue to swirl as a low pressure area due to momentum. It's normal. But at landfall, it will be a dud, or not even a Hurricane. If it hits Nova Scotia, it'll be a nothingburger as NS gets Nor'easters more powerful than "Lee" will be.
 

This projection from the Hurricane Center shows "Lee" hitting the southern tip of Nova Scotia. Yarmouth, NS would be just to the northeast of the "storm's" center.   Highest winds in Yarmouth are forecast for 25 to 35 mph on Friday night and Saturday. That's nothing.  That's what the above projection shows, not a hurricane at landfall in NS.

Bermuda is NE of the storm and will see 42 mph winds on Friday. 

New England will get wind and rain. Provincetown, MA will also get 42 mph winds and rain in it's exposed location on Saturday.  Boston will get 25 mph winds and rain on Saturday.

As a young man, my friends and I were bicycling around New England and we were in Boston when a "hurricane" hit Boston. Of course, it was headlines in local papers, but we didn't even notice anything. These storms fizzle-out quickly in the N. Atlantic.  Winter storms will be more powerful.

Yes, it's of interest to maritime interests and seas will be rough. Tides will be abnormally high on the New England coast. There's no denying that. But watch the Hurricane Center call it a Cat 1 storm as it hits Yarmouth with just 30 to 35 mph winds.  This is the time of all lies in media.

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